Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 8.669889 9.567512 10.528140 11.634317 12.874973 14.225808 15.811032
2025-10-19 7.154509 8.343775 9.698918 11.363624 13.362030 15.694336 18.637712
2025-10-26 5.996782 7.334276 8.943521 11.036221 13.705815 17.024227 21.503194
2025-11-02 5.109615 6.518274 8.297421 10.733353 14.018844 18.349499 24.578192
2025-11-09 4.414527 5.847828 7.738863 10.452330 14.305091 19.669537 27.864719
2025-11-16 3.880348 5.318669 7.293287 10.251790 14.658451 21.119687 31.577087
2025-11-23 3.467685 4.903876 6.949032 10.138824 15.108631 22.762784 35.860248
2025-11-30 3.201022 4.663799 6.821207 10.319625 16.015687 25.225922 41.891991
2025-12-07 2.904797 4.344782 6.535527 10.213583 16.444585 26.976567 47.043372
2025-12-14 2.619571 4.011088 6.187836 9.958982 16.583151 28.246342 51.563392
2025-12-21 2.412989 3.779137 5.974493 9.896075 17.033857 30.120783 57.577989
2025-12-28 2.288098 3.665862 5.940887 10.133343 18.047749 33.180324 66.577564
2026-01-04 2.172135 3.559220 5.912362 10.386197 19.148911 36.636043 77.300844
2026-01-11 2.032818 3.399086 5.774223 10.420016 19.832758 39.377112 87.110559
2026-01-18 1.887938 3.215565 5.575601 10.314051 20.220301 41.566156 96.174052
2026-01-25 1.752889 3.037350 5.368848 10.166650 20.499802 43.569245 105.293905
2026-02-01 1.628760 2.868142 5.162436 9.994875 20.701575 45.432430 114.544790
2026-02-08 1.522518 2.723119 4.988297 9.868796 20.986268 47.543663 125.053943
2026-02-15 1.433510 2.603259 4.851784 9.805937 21.406366 50.064783 137.459702
2026-02-22 1.380852 2.549075 4.840361 10.012805 22.494625 54.494194 156.969307
2026-03-01 1.303783 2.440326 4.707803 9.933357 22.872736 57.123144 171.588955
2026-03-08 1.219074 2.309673 4.518412 9.702533 22.837329 58.615644 182.896347
2026-03-15 1.157815 2.221991 4.411806 9.652604 23.261403 61.494036 200.003571